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April 25, 2024, 07:16:55 pm

Author Topic: Study Score Prediction Question Thread  (Read 985235 times)  Share 

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idk2020

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2940 on: August 25, 2020, 04:27:58 pm »
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Hey just wondering if anyone can give me a prediction for these subjects if I get the stated exam scores?

Legal
unit 3 99%
unit 4 100% so far (probably similar on last sac)
strong cohort (two 50's last year)
ranking 1-3/ 70
exam 77-80/80

Specialist
unit 3 94%
unit 4 89%
average cohort
ranking 5-7/30
exam 1 32/40
exam 2 73/80

methods
unit 3 84%
unit 4 95%
average cohort
ranking 15-20/100
exam 1 35-38/40
exam 2 75/80

English
unit 3 85%
unit 4 85%
average to strong cohort
ranking 30ish/180
exam 22-23/30

Chemistry
unit 3 93%
unit 4 97%
average to strongish cohort
ranking 3-5/30
exam 110-115/120

saraoc

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2941 on: August 26, 2020, 10:36:00 am »
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English
U3: 82%
U4: 100% (only done 1 sac tho)
Ranking: top 20 out of 60
Exam: 20/30

Bio
U3: 91%
U4: 94%
Ranking: top 3 out of 15/20
Exam: 116-117/120

Psych
U3: 81%
U4: 79%
Ranking: top 4 out of 10
Exam: 100/120

Further
U3: 80%
U4: 95%
Ranking: top 5 out of 30
Exam: 110-115/120

Legal
U3: 70%
U4: 65%
Ranking: idk 6 or 7/12
Exam: 110-115/120
- sara ✧:・゚

keltingmeith

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2942 on: August 26, 2020, 04:02:29 pm »
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Hey just wondering if anyone can give me a prediction for these subjects if I get the stated exam scores?

Legal
unit 3 99%
unit 4 100% so far (probably similar on last sac)
strong cohort (two 50's last year)
ranking 1-3/ 70
exam 77-80/80

Specialist
unit 3 94%
unit 4 89%
average cohort
ranking 5-7/30
exam 1 32/40
exam 2 73/80

methods
unit 3 84%
unit 4 95%
average cohort
ranking 15-20/100
exam 1 35-38/40
exam 2 75/80

English
unit 3 85%
unit 4 85%
average to strong cohort
ranking 30ish/180
exam 22-23/30

Chemistry
unit 3 93%
unit 4 97%
average to strongish cohort
ranking 3-5/30
exam 110-115/120

English
U3: 82%
U4: 100% (only done 1 sac tho)
Ranking: top 20 out of 60
Exam: 20/30

Bio
U3: 91%
U4: 94%
Ranking: top 3 out of 15/20
Exam: 116-117/120

Psych
U3: 81%
U4: 79%
Ranking: top 4 out of 10
Exam: 100/120

Further
U3: 80%
U4: 95%
Ranking: top 5 out of 30
Exam: 110-115/120

Legal
U3: 70%
U4: 65%
Ranking: idk 6 or 7/12
Exam: 110-115/120

I've just written and published a study score calculator that may prove useful to you both. I will add that both of your scores (namely idk2020, but also a fair few of your scores, saraoc) are quite high and you can assume that the calculator is likely going to underestimate what your actual scores are, but it's also likely to give you very similar marks I would've guess for you anyway. Try it out, and let me know what you think!

ErnieTheBirdi

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2943 on: August 27, 2020, 02:02:44 pm »
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Look, 45+ might not be possible - keep in mind that last year, an 81 got you a B+ mark for your Biology SACs, and that a third of students got a B+ or higher. That doesn't mean that's what will happen this year, but these things tend to have a trend that doesn't get bucked quite that drastically from year to year. But it's still worth working hard and trying to get the best score you can.

If you're above the median, you'll probably find your SACs will scale up slightly - THIS IS NO GUARANTEE. DO NOT TAKE THIS AS A GUARANTEE. IF YOU DO, YOU'LL PROBABLY BE DISAPPOINTED. So, I'm going to do this on the assumption that your SAC marks don't change. Note that the first three numbers are essentially a conversion of your score for each bit to a study score based on last year's data.


I was just wondering since we are all getting Seas because of COVID will there still be a chance I can get 45+? or at least 42+?

keltingmeith

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2944 on: August 27, 2020, 03:20:18 pm »
+1
I was just wondering since we are all getting Seas because of COVID will there still be a chance I can get 45+? or at least 42+?

Look, we don't know the mechanics of how this change is going to work, so there's no way of predicting this, I'm really sorry. I don't think what they're doing will affect you that much, however.

undefined

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2945 on: August 28, 2020, 03:03:54 am »
+1
I was just wondering since we are all getting Seas because of COVID will there still be a chance I can get 45+? or at least 42+?
Strictly speaking SEAS doesn't affect your study score (unless something's changed). It affects your selection rank which means it boosts your ATAR to meet entry requirements for uni. You won't see what your selection rank is though, since all you're given is your raw ATAR but you can use calculators to check.
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FortniteGode876

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2946 on: August 30, 2020, 05:59:55 pm »
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Methods study score prediction:

Rank 5 in an average cohort
Exam 1: 39/40
Exam 2: 77/80


Rank 1,2,3,4 all get around:
Exam 1: 31/40
Exam 2: 67/80

Thank you much appreciated

keltingmeith

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2947 on: August 30, 2020, 06:26:36 pm »
+3
Methods study score prediction:

Rank 5 in an average cohort
Exam 1: 39/40
Exam 2: 77/80


Rank 1,2,3,4 all get around:
Exam 1: 31/40
Exam 2: 67/80

Thank you much appreciated

So, I've calculated using my study score calculator, and that predicts a study score of 40+. The hard bit is figuring out how your SACs will scale - but I've decided to assume that ranks 1-4 will get SACs scaled to match their exam marks of 75-80%, and just gave you the low-ball of that plus a bit more at 70%. Having said that, you could probably expect a little closer to 42+, since my calculator is likely under-predicting with exam scores that high.

Coolgalbornin03Lo

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2948 on: August 31, 2020, 10:04:16 am »
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I know one bad SAC won't ruin your study score, but I was aiming for 45 so I think it has.

I have been averaging high 80s at my school when the average is usually about 73 however in the last SAC the average was 73 and I got 77, will this have a HUGE impact on my study score? If you would like I can PM the school.

U3 average: 87
U4 average: 83 (atm one more SAC to go but unlikely I can move this)
My avatar sums up life.
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2020: English | Methods | Biology | Chemistry |              Psychology | ATAR: 0
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homeworkisapotato

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2949 on: August 31, 2020, 10:31:19 am »
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What subject is this and do you know your ranking and cohort strength?  :)
2020: Biology [43]
2021: Methods, Chemistry, HHD, English, Further
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Coolgalbornin03Lo

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2950 on: August 31, 2020, 10:45:29 am »
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I know one bad SAC won't ruin your study score, but I was aiming for 45 so I think it has.

I have been averaging high 80s at my school when the average is usually about 73 however in the last SAC the average was 73 and I got 77, will this have a HUGE impact on my study score? If you would like I can PM the school.

U3 average: 87
U4 average: 83 (atm one more SAC to go but unlikely I can move this)

Biology
About Cohort strength- last year averaging 70s got you a 40
Im not sure about this year with COVID
My avatar sums up life.
“I’m free to be the greatest one alive” ~ Sia
╔══════════════════════════════╗
2020: English | Methods | Biology | Chemistry |              Psychology | ATAR: 0
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cottagemoomin

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2951 on: September 02, 2020, 05:08:42 pm »
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Global Politics
U3 86%
U4 (prediction) 88%-90%
Exam 71/80

Also, is it true that I would need an A+ on the exam to get, say, a raw 40-43? My cohort is relatively small (approx. 15-20 people) and I'm currently rank 1.

Literature
U3 96%
U4 83% (prediction)
Exam 80%

I'm in a relatively small cohort of about 20 people who're all pretty good- we're currently averaging As for the SACs.

English
U3 87%
U4 89% (prediction)
Exam 80%

Methods
U3 83%
U4 92%
Exam 70%
« Last Edit: September 02, 2020, 05:12:48 pm by cottagemoomin »
just trying to make it through

rozmaaate

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2952 on: September 10, 2020, 11:25:19 pm »
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Hey guys could anyone give me a predicted study score  for my scores in PE
Cohort of about 54
Rank 1-5

Unit 3
95/100

Unit 4
96/100

Exam
105/120



keltingmeith

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2953 on: September 11, 2020, 08:13:54 am »
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I have updated my study score calculator to now give results for both of your subjects that weren't listed (Lit, GP, and PE). I've then run the numbers myself, but you're welcome to try out some other numbers. Make sure to know the limitations of my spreadsheet! Here's what I predict for both of you:

Global Politics
U3 86%
U4 (prediction) 88%-90%
Exam 71/80

Also, is it true that I would need an A+ on the exam to get, say, a raw 40-43? My cohort is relatively small (approx. 15-20 people) and I'm currently rank 1.

Literature
U3 96%
U4 83% (prediction)
Exam 80%

I'm in a relatively small cohort of about 20 people who're all pretty good- we're currently averaging As for the SACs.

English
U3 87%
U4 89% (prediction)
Exam 80%

Methods
U3 83%
U4 92%
Exam 70%

Global Politics: 37-41
Straight up - I'm not an expert on GP, but I do know a bit about VCAA statistics. GP has an EXTREMELY strong top-end looking at the stats, so it would make sense that you need to be scoring really highly to ensure a 40. Typically, my study-score calculator should under-predicts at the extreme high end - I don't think it's doing that in this case. But also, do note, that last year an A+ was anywhere between 138-160/160, so the mark you think you get would count as an A+.

Literature: 33-38
You'd think it might be higher with your grades, but that lower exam mark tells me that your SACs will likely scale down, so my prediction assumes your SACs are 10% lower than indicated so that they more closely match your exam score. Sorry!

English: 37-41
Ditto for the above.

Methods: 33-38
Ditto again, but I've assumed that SACs go down by 15%. Do note, however, that the exams for methods are much higher weighted than the SACs (usually it's 50-50 coursework:exam, in methods it's actually 34:66), and in particular it matters what you get for exam 1 vs exam 2. I've assumed both your exams you get 70% for this prediction.

Hey guys could anyone give me a predicted study score  for my scores in PE
Cohort of about 54
Rank 1-5

Unit 3
95/100

Unit 4
96/100

Exam
105/120

So, I've assumed that your SACs will scale down as well. Partly because at the upper-end of the rankings, the SACs are more likely to scale so that they match your exam score - but also because I don't trust my study score calculator with numbers that high ANYWAY lol, so you'd be getting an under-estimation either way.

I'd put these marks at a 38-43.





Reminder that if anybody wants subjects added to my calculator to PLEASE let me know :) Can't add them if I don't know they're wanted! Also, still looking for people to test the study score calculator's accuracy - so if you'd like to help me out, send me a PM. Accepting anyone who still has their VCAA results listing their scores for each GA and their final study score. Will also happily accept anyone after results for this year come out, if you're a current year 12 student and want to keep that in the back of your mind.

blueycan

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Re: Study Score Prediction Question Thread
« Reply #2954 on: September 11, 2020, 11:23:10 pm »
+1
HHD

u3 92/100
u4 predicted 68/75
exam predicted 85%
rank 1/70-something, large cohort

i put ga1 92%, ga2 90% and ga3 85% in the keltingmeith study score predictor and it says 35?
thanks in advance (:

« Last Edit: September 11, 2020, 11:24:50 pm by blueycan »