VCE Stuff > Victorian Technical Score Discussion
Study Score Prediction Question Thread
brenden:
Note: I made this thread in 2012 (my graduating year), because I was obsessed with predicting the maximum 'possibility' of what I could score, and determining how feasible my aims were. I can really, really understand the desire to start predicting scores to see what you need on each subject to get x ATAR, however, I strongly recommend not getting caught up in it, because it is utter bullshit. It is a waste of your time. It is a waste of your stress. Work your hardest (and don't just say you're working your hardest) and you'll be surprised at the results. For all I researched statistics and moderation and whatever else, I still managed to predict myself a good eight points lower than I actually received in one subject, and predict myself a good eight points higher than I actually received in another. For anyone curious, the way I do things for a subject with a normal distribution of GAs, I take whatever SAC score and then standardise it against the mean and SD for that particular GA. I repeat for all three GAs and take into account differences in weighting (Spesh Exam 2 is weighted more, for example), and then get an average of the z-scores and apply that to the study score. (So if GA 1, 2, and 3 have an average score of +2 Sx away from the mean, I'd approximate a 44, all things being equal). And then I sprinkle a little bit of corrective intuition and any other knowledge I might have from random threads. So, do that by yourself if you know how to and save yourself a thread ;)
PLEASE DO NOT POST ASKING FOR A PREDICTION THAT IS EXACTLY THE SAME AS ONE IN THE FRONT PAGE/b]...
I'm going to edit/compile every 'predict my study score' comment in this thread into this here original post. By the time we get a couple of pages of "please predict SS" then we're bound to get some overlap and thus a reduction in people needing clarification.
I will be categorising predictions by subjects, and then highest to lowest GAs/Scores and the ranks that accompanied.
Others, please feel free to predict as you usually would, this thread is just a compilation so we don't get five posts on "What if I get three B+s in Biology" per week.
YOU MUST PROVIDE US WITH: Your ranking and the approximated strength of your cohort, or approximate strength of the area around your rank. (So, if you're ranked third, even if you have a horrible cohort, but the top ten people are mega-geniuses - let us know).http://www.bettereducation.com.au/results/vce.aspx.. and your hopeful exam(s) mark(s). Conversely, don't worry about your school or ranking and provide is with your SAC GAs after scaling (as has been done in the first reply below.)
If you don't know what a GA is, read Paul's thread before posting.
If you want to understand where people's predictions are (hopefully) coming from, read Paul's Guide to how Study Scores and ATARs are calculated!
and check
http://www.vcaa.vic.edu.au/Pages/vce/statistics/2011/statssect3.aspx, http://www.vcaa.vic.edu.au/Pages/vce/statistics/2010/statssect3.aspx,
http://www.vcaa.vic.edu.au/Pages/vce/statistics/2009/statssect3.aspx etc etc.
GA 1: GA 2: GA 3: (template)
Accounting
GA 1: 171/180 , (151/180 A+ cutoff) GA 2:199/200 scaled GA 3: 180/180 --> 50
GA 1: A GA 2: Low A+ GA 3: Low A+ --> 38-40
Australian Politics
A marginal A+ on sacs (by 2 marks) and an A on the exam. What would I be expecting. I rank 1st. Cohort is relatively weak with an average score of B.
GA 1: Low A GA 2: Low A GA 3: Low A -->36ish
GA 1: High A GA 2: High A GA 3: High A -->39ish
Biology
GA 1: 67.5/75 GA 2: Unknown GA 3: 74/75 --> 47
Business Management
GA 1: B+ GA 2: A GA 3: B+ --> 37
GA 1: B+ GA 2: B+ GA 3: B+ --> 36 [tops]
GA 1: B+ GA 2: A GA 3: B --> 35
GA 1: B GA 2: B GA 3: B --> 31 [absolute min]
Chemistry
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: Mid A+ GA 3: High A+ --> 48
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: Mid A+ GA 3: Mid A+ --> 46
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: Mid A+ GA 3: Low A+ --> 44
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: Mid A+ GA 3: Low A --> 40+
GA 1: High B+ GA 2: A+ GA 3: High A+ --> 38
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: Mid A+ GA 3: Low B(?) --> 35+
Chinese SLA
GA 1: Low A+ GA 2: Low A+ GA 3: Low A+ --> 35 [could be wrong]
English
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: High A+ GA 3: 50/60 --> 43-45
GA 1: M-H A+ GA 2: High A+ GA 3: H-L A --> 41
GA 1: A+ GA 2: A+ GA 3: A+ (all low)--> 38-42
GA 1: M-H A+ GA 2: High A+ GA 3: High B+ --> 38
GA 1: ? GA 2: ? GA 3: A+ --> 36-40
GA 1: High A GA 2: High A GA 3: Low A --> 36-38
GA 1: 77/100 GA 2: 65/100 GA 3: B+ --> 34
GA 1: 77/100 GA 2: 65/100 GA 3: B --> 33
Further Mathematics
GA 1: 100/100 GA 2: 40/40 GA 3: 59/60 --> 50
Exam 1: 36/40 Exam 2: 54/60 --> Close to 40.
GA1: C+ GA2: B GA3: C -> 29
50-70% on both exams --> 29-35
Geography
GA 1: B+ GA 2: M-H A GA 3: Low A+ --> 36
Global Politics
Rank 1-3
Exam Scenario A - A+
GA 1: Low A GA 2: Low A GA 3: Low A --> 36
GA 1: Low A+ GA 2: Low A+ GA 3: Low A+ --> 38
GA 1: M-H A+ GA 2: M-H A+ GA 3: M-H A+ --> 42-50.
Health and Human Development
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: High A+ GA 3: 95/100 --> 47-50
GA 1: 100/100 GA 2: 100/100 GA 3: 169/200 (A+ - cut off was 149) ---47
IT: Applications
GA1: B+ GA2: A+ GA3: A+ (77.5/90) -> 41
Legal Studies
GA 1: 93/100 GA 2: 93/100 GA 3: 60/70 --> 39
Literature
GA 1: 100/100 GA 2: 96/100 GA 3: 36/40 --> 45 or above [imo]
GA1: A+ GA2: A+ GA3: A+ (70/80) -> 43
GA 1: C+ GA 2: C+ GA 3: High B+ --> 27-31
Methods
GA 1: A GA 2: A+ GA 3: A+ --> 40
GA 1: Low A+ GA 2: Low A GA 3: Low A --> 37
Philosophy
GA 1: 100/100 GA 2: 100/100 GA 3: 55/60 --> 48+ [could be 50[?]]
Physics
GA 1: L-M A+ GA 2: High A GA 3: M-H A+ (close to full marks) --> 42 ~(43?)
GA 1: B+ GA 2: B+ GA 3: A --> 35-36
GA1: C GA2: B GA3: C -> 25
Psychology
GA 1: 152/180 (A+ - cut off was 146) GA 2: 199/200 GA 3: 175/180 (A+ - cut off was 159) --> 48
GA 1: 75/90 GA 2: 192/200 GA 3: 174/180 --> 45
GA 1: A+ 73.5/90 cut-off(73/90) GA 2: A+ 193/200 GA 3: A+ 171/180 cut-off(79.5/90) --> 44
GA1: A+ (78.5/90) GA2: A+ GA3: A (77.5/90) -> 42
GA 1: 152/180 GA 2: 190/200 GA 3: 162/180 --> 42
GA 1: A GA 2: A+ GA 3: A+[?] --> 37-42
GA 1: D+ GA 2: B GA 3: B --> 28-30
Revolutions
GA 1: High A+ GA 2: High A+ GA 3: High A+ --> 45-50
GA 1: A+ GA 2: A+ GA 3: A (53.5/80 -> 38
GA 1: B GA 2: B+ GA 3: A --> 35-37
Specialist Math
GA 1: A GA 2: A GA 3: A --> 37[?] quite variable.
GA 1: Mid B+ GA 2: Low B+ GA 3: High B --> 34
Somye:
For bazza:
'mid A+ sacs after scaling
69/75 exam 1
What do i generally need for exam 2 to get a 35 and a 40 for chem?'
ktrah:
Hey, for English, what do you reckon you would get with high As on SACs (~83/100) and a low A for the exam (~7s)? Thanks!
StumbleBum:
--- Quote from: ktrah on October 16, 2012, 10:42:18 pm ---Hey, for English, what do you reckon you would get with high As on SACs (~83/100) and a low A for the exam (~7s)? Thanks!
--- End quote ---
I'd say ~36-38 going off last years grade distrubutions, as the lower exam result will impact your SACs.
paulsterio:
Read this first guys: Guide to how Study Scores and ATARs are calculated!
I'm writing up a guide so you all can predict your own study score without having to rely so much on ATARNotes.
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